Google announced 12,000 layoffs today. Investors seem to think that’s a reason to buy the stock. The reality is that economic growth and inflation are now decelerating at a faster rate (Rate of Change). Under these conditions, you don’t buy...
The year 2021 was mostly a Quad 2 year. For those of you unfamiliar with our terminology, that’s when Growth and Inflation are both accelerating. The economy does well under these conditions and stocks love it. So that’s why 2021 was a good year for almost all...
By now, I’m sure you have noticed how the cost of almost everything is rising: housing, food, rent, energy, lumber, gasoline, copper, meat, insurance, corn…even burlap and tallow…almost everything is rising. You may also be wondering how all of this...
It’s the end of the first quarter so I want to provide you with an economic and portfolio update. We have been tracking Quad 2 (see chart above) since the fourth quarter of 2020. Quad 2 is when growth and inflation are accelerating. In this economic regime we want...
If you have retirement savings, then you better have a risk management process for not losing it. Anyone who has a portion of their money invested in an international stock mutual fund with exposure to countries such as China, Germany, South Korea, Italy, Brazil,...
What’s Next? It’s official. We’re now 107 months into this economic expansion without a recession since 2009. It’s the second-longest ever. What next? The US economy has had seven straight quarters of rising economic growth. As we look...
